Trader Workspace

Market Regime

Cycle phase, valuation models, price context, and the highest-priority market signals.

Regime

Tactical / Cautious Bullish

BTC ETF flows show solid inflows, with stable liquidity in the system. However, technical indicators present mixed signals, requiring caution. Long liquidations are a potential risk.

Largest 24h shift

Changed

BTC +1.6%, ETH +2.1%, DXY -0.2%

Immediate alert

Watch

Monitor macro headlines closely due to potential impact on crypto.

Main Sections

The dashboard is organized directly from the spreadsheet template.

Regime Monitor Table

Top-level cycle and valuation monitors summarized in a denser workbook-style view.

MonitorInstrumentTermCurrentSecondarySignalTriggerSource
Bitcoin Power Law
Valuation Model
BTCn/a116,320Target $200k by Oct 2025BUYPower law floor supportDiscord / Power Law
Mayer Multiple
Technical Market Phase
BTCn/a0.90Spot 10.1% below 200DMABUYBuy near 0.8, sell near 2.4Coinbase public candles / internal calc
Fear & Greed Index
Sentiment
BTCn/a54GreedHOLD74+ extreme greedCoinMarketCap / Glassnode
200 day MA (28 weeks)
Technical Market Phase
BTCn/a$71,731Spot 10.1% below 200DMASELLMacro trend anchorCoinbase public candles / internal calc
Bitcoin Price vs Cost Basis Stack
Market Phase
BTCn/aSpot above realised price / active-investor meanVaulted price 157,100HOLDWatch spot versus realised price / STH cost basisCheckOnChain

Section

Market Regime

Mixed execution signals with bullish potential from ETF flows but caution due to liquidations.

Primary stance

Tactical / cautious bullish

cycle phase / valuation models / headline market stance

Primary sources

CheckOnChain

CheckOnChain, TradingView, Power Law model

Monitors

5

Tracked rows in this section

Buy Bias

2

Rows currently marked buy / constructive

Sell Risk

1

Rows currently marked sell / bearish

Watch

0

Rows currently flagged for monitoring

BTC / USDT

BINANCE:BTCUSDT

Valuation Model

MonitorInstrumentTermCurrentSecondarySignalTriggerSource
Bitcoin Power Law
Valuation Model

Long-term valuation model tracking Bitcoin against the power-law trajectory and floor.

BTCn/a116,320Target $200k by Oct 2025BUYPower law floor supportDiscord / Power Law

Technical Market Phase

MonitorInstrumentTermCurrentSecondarySignalTriggerSource
Mayer Multiple
Technical Market Phase

Live regime monitor derived from Coinbase public BTC candles.

BTCn/a0.90Spot 10.1% below 200DMABUYBuy near 0.8, sell near 2.4Coinbase public candles / internal calc
200 day MA (28 weeks)
Technical Market Phase

Live regime monitor derived from Coinbase public BTC candles.

BTCn/a$71,731Spot 10.1% below 200DMASELLMacro trend anchorCoinbase public candles / internal calc

Sentiment

MonitorInstrumentTermCurrentSecondarySignalTriggerSource
Fear & Greed Index
Sentiment

Market emotion gauge using volatility, momentum, dominance, and trend inputs.

BTCn/a54GreedHOLD74+ extreme greedCoinMarketCap / Glassnode

Market Phase

MonitorInstrumentTermCurrentSecondarySignalTriggerSource
Bitcoin Price vs Cost Basis Stack
Market Phase

Tracks BTC spot against vaulted price, realised price, true market mean, and STH cost basis to frame the cycle.

BTCn/aSpot above realised price / active-investor meanVaulted price 157,100HOLDWatch spot versus realised price / STH cost basisCheckOnChain