Regime
Tactical / Cautious Bullish
BTC ETF flows show solid inflows, with stable liquidity in the system. However, technical indicators present mixed signals, requiring caution. Long liquidations are a potential risk.
Trader Workspace
Cycle phase, valuation models, price context, and the highest-priority market signals.
Regime
Tactical / Cautious Bullish
BTC ETF flows show solid inflows, with stable liquidity in the system. However, technical indicators present mixed signals, requiring caution. Long liquidations are a potential risk.
Largest 24h shift
Changed
BTC +1.6%, ETH +2.1%, DXY -0.2%
Immediate alert
Watch
Monitor macro headlines closely due to potential impact on crypto.
The dashboard is organized directly from the spreadsheet template.
Market Regime
Mixed execution signals with bullish potential from ETF flows but caution due to liquidations.
Primary stance
Tactical / cautious bullish
Open page
Technical Analysis
Major indicators suggest HOLD but with critical support levels to monitor.
Core trend model
21 week SMA
Open page
Equities Monitor
Focus on BTC-linked equities (MSTR / COIN) as indicators of overall market health.
Focus basket
MSTR / COIN / miners
Open page
Macro
Stable macro liquidity countered by DXY positioning; events can create volatility.
Main macro driver
DXY / Global M2
Open page
Flows
Positive flow patterns indicate sustained demand for BTC.
Main flow input
BTC ETF flows
Open page
Derivatives
Watch for fluctuating metrics; crowding concerns in ETH could signal broader risks.
Main derivatives input
Funding / IV / OI
Open page
Onchain Data
Cost basis metrics remain healthy but should be monitored for potential shifts.
Main onchain lens
Cost basis and MVRV
Open page
Ask DashBeta
Ask Dash Beta is waiting for stronger live coverage or a clearer AI read.
Query mode
Trader-facing natural language
Open page
Top-level cycle and valuation monitors summarized in a denser workbook-style view.
| Monitor | Instrument | Term | Current | Secondary | Signal | Trigger | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Power Law Valuation Model | BTC | n/a | 116,320 | Target $200k by Oct 2025 | BUY | Power law floor support | Discord / Power Law |
Mayer Multiple Technical Market Phase | BTC | n/a | 0.90 | Spot 10.1% below 200DMA | BUY | Buy near 0.8, sell near 2.4 | Coinbase public candles / internal calc |
Fear & Greed Index Sentiment | BTC | n/a | 54 | Greed | HOLD | 74+ extreme greed | CoinMarketCap / Glassnode |
200 day MA (28 weeks) Technical Market Phase | BTC | n/a | $71,731 | Spot 10.1% below 200DMA | SELL | Macro trend anchor | Coinbase public candles / internal calc |
Bitcoin Price vs Cost Basis Stack Market Phase | BTC | n/a | Spot above realised price / active-investor mean | Vaulted price 157,100 | HOLD | Watch spot versus realised price / STH cost basis | CheckOnChain |
Section
Market Regime
Mixed execution signals with bullish potential from ETF flows but caution due to liquidations.
Primary stance
Tactical / cautious bullish
cycle phase / valuation models / headline market stance
Primary sources
CheckOnChain
CheckOnChain, TradingView, Power Law model
Monitors
5
Tracked rows in this section
Buy Bias
2
Rows currently marked buy / constructive
Sell Risk
1
Rows currently marked sell / bearish
Watch
0
Rows currently flagged for monitoring
BTC / USDT
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
| Monitor | Instrument | Term | Current | Secondary | Signal | Trigger | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Power Law Valuation Model Long-term valuation model tracking Bitcoin against the power-law trajectory and floor. | BTC | n/a | 116,320 | Target $200k by Oct 2025 | BUY | Power law floor support | Discord / Power Law |
| Monitor | Instrument | Term | Current | Secondary | Signal | Trigger | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mayer Multiple Technical Market Phase Live regime monitor derived from Coinbase public BTC candles. | BTC | n/a | 0.90 | Spot 10.1% below 200DMA | BUY | Buy near 0.8, sell near 2.4 | Coinbase public candles / internal calc |
200 day MA (28 weeks) Technical Market Phase Live regime monitor derived from Coinbase public BTC candles. | BTC | n/a | $71,731 | Spot 10.1% below 200DMA | SELL | Macro trend anchor | Coinbase public candles / internal calc |
| Monitor | Instrument | Term | Current | Secondary | Signal | Trigger | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fear & Greed Index Sentiment Market emotion gauge using volatility, momentum, dominance, and trend inputs. | BTC | n/a | 54 | Greed | HOLD | 74+ extreme greed | CoinMarketCap / Glassnode |
| Monitor | Instrument | Term | Current | Secondary | Signal | Trigger | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Price vs Cost Basis Stack Market Phase Tracks BTC spot against vaulted price, realised price, true market mean, and STH cost basis to frame the cycle. | BTC | n/a | Spot above realised price / active-investor mean | Vaulted price 157,100 | HOLD | Watch spot versus realised price / STH cost basis | CheckOnChain |